HQ UPSET WATCH
Matchup: Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers
HQ pick: Cleveland Cavaliers
Verified market favorite: Dallas Mavericks
Market disagreement sources: kalshi
Projected score: Dallas Mavericks 8.555 - Cleveland Cavaliers 8.508
Why this is an upset signal
HQ independently released Cleveland Cavaliers while at least one verified market feed favored the other side. That disagreement is what places this matchup on Upset Watch.
Important distinction
Market prices are comparison context only. They do not drive the HQ prediction. The model pick is produced first, then compared with available market favorites.
This is a model prediction, not a guarantee.